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Market & Portfolio Review: 2-18-22

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Guns, Germs & Stocks

In this week’s stock market update, we will talk about the impact of the ongoing Russia/Ukraine crises on stock prices and the historical impact that Geopolitics has on the longer-term trajectory of risk assets. Additionally, we will also focus on the other irritant to stock prices, which is the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising short-term policy rates and how many rate hikes are already priced in. Lastly, we will wrap up by reviewing trading conditions through investor sentiment and overall market positioning into the back half of February.

Key Takeaways

  1. Geopolitical risk is scary but has very little impact on stock prices beyond a month
  2. Multiple interest rate increases appear to be already priced in and largely represent a return pre-pandemic levels
  3. The explosive surge in demand for S&P 500 put options is a contrarian buy signal 

The information here is presented by licensed professionals and not specific to any individual’s personal circumstances. Investment advisory services offered through LifePro Asset Management, LLC, a registered investment adviser. Investments involve risk and are not guaranteed. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy will be profitable or equal any historical performance. Discussion of any specific stocks are based on objective, non-performance criteria and such discussion neither serves as a recommendation nor as the receipt of, or a substitute for, personalized advice. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, such discussion of positions and/or recommendations may no longer be reflective of current position(s) and/or recommendation(s). Moreover, no client or prospective client should assume that any such discussion serves as the receipt of, or a substitute for, personalized advice from Advisor, or from any other investment professional. Forward-looking statements such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” are based on management’s views and assumptions at the time such statements were originally made and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. LifePro Asset Management does not undertake any obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statements on the LPAM Site.

Robert Reaburn

Robert Reaburn

Robert Reaburn is the Executive Vice President and Head of Wealth Management at LifePro Asset Management. He works with financial advisors building diverse financial portfolios that best empower their clients with a lifetime of financial security.

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